Whipsaws Dancing with the Trend

On the return stroke, the burden of lifting the weight of the saw was shared equally by the two sawyers, thereby reducing fatigue and backache. Looking elsewhere on the earnings calendar, BJ’s Wholesale Club Holdings (BJ) reported mixed results for its fiscal third quarter, beating on the bottom line but falling just short on the […]

Updated at November 22, 2024

what is whipsaw

On the return stroke, the burden of lifting the weight of the saw was shared equally by the two sawyers, thereby reducing fatigue and backache. Looking elsewhere on the earnings calendar, BJ’s Wholesale Club Holdings (BJ) reported mixed results for its fiscal third quarter, beating on the bottom line but falling just short on the top line. Near the top of the Dow was Salesforce (CRM), which jumped 3.1% thanks to a halo lift from fellow software firm Snowflake (SNOW). Indeed, SNOW stock surged 32.7% – its best day ever – after the data cloud company beat top- and bottom-line expectations for its fiscal 2025 third quarter and raised its full-year outlook.

There are, however, ways to reduce the number of whipsaw trades that occur in any rules-based strategy, and that is to de-sensitize the model to the market’s actions; one such example would be using wider stops. We caution against this approach to whipsaws as it may reduce the frequency of them, but can also reduce overall performance, especially during bear markets. Know that whatever stop the municipal market monitor level you choose, there will be times when the market does not cooperate. Adjusting a model based upon sound principles so that the whipsaws in the recent past are reduced or eliminated likely leads to whipsaws at other times and worse returns where it matters most – in the future. It does not have any regard to your specific investment objectives, financial situation and any of your particular needs.

Snowflake has its best day ever after earnings

  1. Yet, they are never going away, they are absolutely part of the process and cannot be avoided.
  2. Whipsaw patterns most notably occur in a volatile market in which price fluctuations are unpredictable.
  3. The value of the units and the income accruing to the units may fall or rise.
  4. The saw blade teeth were angled and sharpened as a rip saw so as to only cut on the downward stroke.

Yet, they are never going away, they are absolutely part of the process and cannot be avoided. We think it just takes experience to get used to whipsaws, if one ever does. Taking a longer-term view of a strategy’s investment results and not focusing on the current trade that may not be working is one way to make whipsaws more tolerable. An ETF is not like a typical unit trust as the units of the ETF (the “Units“) are to be listed and traded like any share on the Singapore Exchange Securities Trading Limited (“SGX-ST”). Listing on the SGX-ST does not guarantee a liquid market for the Units which may be traded at prices above or below its NAV or may be suspended or delisted. Investors cannot create or redeem Units directly with PCM and have no rights to request PCM to redeem or purchase their Units.

what is whipsaw

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Whipsaw is different to other reversals because it is characterised by a sudden change in an asset’s momentum shortly after a trader has opened their position. Whipsaws can occur for a variety of reasons, such as unexpected news, changes in market sentiment, or sudden shifts in investor sentiment. When a stock experiences a whipsaw, it can be difficult to predict what will happen next, as the market may be volatile and unpredictable. Whipsaw is a term used to describe a market condition where the price of a stock or other financial instrument quickly changes direction. This can happen in both bullish and bearish markets and can occur in any time frame. The term “whipsaw” is derived from the action of a saw, where the blade moves back and forth quickly, much like the price of a stock during a whipsaw.

Sudden News or Events

A whipsaw occurs when a market exhibits sharp price movements in one direction, followed by a sudden reversal. This pattern can mislead traders and often leads to significant losses if not managed properly. This article explores the causes, identification, which stop loss order is best for your strategy and approaches to navigating whipsaws. During a whipsaw, the price of a stock or other financial instrument moves in one direction, only to suddenly reverse and move in the opposite direction. This can happen quickly, and the magnitude of the price movement can be significant. For example, a stock might rise sharply in the morning, only to fall just as sharply in the afternoon.

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Seasoned trend followers using technical indicators like RSI to determine whether its time to buy or sell positions. For example, when an investor goes long on a stock, the expectation is that the price will increase in value over time. However, there are many occasions when an investor purchases shares of a company at the top of a market rally. The investor buys a stock at its peak assuming that it will continue to post significant gains. Almost immediately after purchasing the stock, the company releases a quarterly report that shakes investor confidence and causes the stock to decline in value by more than 10%, never to recover.

Unit trusts distributed by Phillip Securities Pte Ltd (“PSPL”) are not obligations of, deposits in, or guaranteed by, PSPL or any of its affiliates. Yеs, whipsaw movеmеnts arе far more common in cadjpy graphique, taux et analyse highly volatilе or low liquidity markеts, such as thе forеx markеt or somе commodity markеts. They can occur much more frequently at any time of uncеrtainty in thе еconomy or times of major nеw еvеnts.